Marketa Vondrousova vs Jessica Pegula Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When comparing recent second serve performances, Pegula has a slight edge, winning 43.73% of points compared to Vondrousova's 40.85%. Could this influence the match outcome?
• In return games, Vondrousova excels, winning 54.55% of her opponent's second serve points against Pegula's 46.47%, and 33.33% on first serve returns against Pegula's 29.45%. Does this suggest a stronger return game for Vondrousova?
• Under pressure, Pegula seems more resilient, saving 51.04% of breakpoints compared to Vondrousova's 41.49%. How might this affect crucial match moments?
• Looking at overall recent performance, Pegula has a higher match success rate over the past year, winning 73.33% of her matches, while Vondrousova has won 56.25%.
• When considering surface preference, Vondrousova's highest winning percentage is on indoor hard courts (81%), while Pegula shines on hard courts with a 67% win rate. Could this influence who has the upper hand?
• Both players have faced competitors with a similar ranking, with Pegula's opponents having a slightly higher average rank (53.37) compared to Vondrousova (55.31).
• In their only head-to-head match, Vondrousova emerged victorious, winning 2 out of 3 sets. What does this record tell us about potential outcomes?
• In matches that went to a deciding set, Pegula has shown slightly better performance, winning 64% compared to Vondrousova's 50% over the past 12 months.
• Vondrousova has been slightly more successful at converting breakpoint opportunities in recent form, converting 36.47%, whereas Pegula achieved a 33.33% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (May 30, 2025, UTC):

Based on recent performance metrics, Pegula appears marginally stronger on her second serve, a crucial factor in competitive matches. This strength could potentially give her an upper hand.

However, Vondrousova outshines Pegula in return games, securing a higher percentage of points on both her opponent's first and second serves. This implies a potential advantage for Vondrousova in breaking Pegula's serve.

Although Pegula demonstrates better breakpoint resilience and higher winning percentages in recent matches, Vondrousova's competitive edge on specific surfaces and their single prior matchup makes this an intriguing contest.

While both players show prowess in deciding sets, Pegula's slightly superior track record in clutch moments might play a decisive role.

Considering all factors, it seems Pegula has a slight edge heading into this match. However, Vondrousova's return game could turn the tide. The final outcome remains balanced, but Pegula might be slightly favored to win.